This year, Penn St. is the only non-transitional FBS team on sanctions and ineligible for bowl games.
There is a massive bowl bid squeeze going on. As there will be as many as 80 bowl-eligible teams for 70 spots, some teams will be left out (last year, only 2 were). Currently, I have all bowl-eligible teams from the big conferences in bowls, but 6-6 teams in the ACC and Pac-12 (conferences needing 2 at-large spots) are not safe.
Scenario Time:
All Contenders Win: Florida St. vs. Ohio St.
OSU loses: Florida St. vs. Auburn
FSU loses: Ohio St. vs. Auburn
OSU and Auburn lose: Florida St. vs. Missouri (would jump Alabama)
FSU and Auburn lose: Ohio St. vs. Missouri
FSU and OSU lose: Auburn vs. Alabama
FSU, OSU, and Auburn lose: Alabama vs. Missouri
*** designates a conference being unable to fill its slot in a particular bowl game.
Gildan New Mexico Bowl: Boise St. (Mountain West #4) vs. Washington (Pac-12 #7)
Maaco Bowl Las Vegas: Fresno St. (Mountain West #1) vs. USC (Pac-12 #5)
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: UNLV (Mountain West #6) vs. Buffalo (MAC #3)
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt #1) vs. Rice (C-USA)
Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl St. Petersburg: Pittsburgh (American #6***) vs. Middle Tennessee (C-USA)
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: San Jose St. (Mountain West #5) vs. East Carolina (C-USA)
Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl: Notre Dame (Big Ten #8***) vs. Ball St. (MAC #1)
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: San Diego St. (Mountain West #2) vs. Washington St. (Army***)
Military Bowl: Maryland (ACC #8) vs. Tulane (C-USA)
Texas Bowl: Texas Tech (Big 12 #6) vs. Minnesota (Big Ten #6)
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Arizona (Pac-12 #6) vs. BYU (BYU / ACC #9)
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl: Texas (Big 12 #4) vs. Nebraska (Big Ten #4)
New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Syracuse (Big 12 #7***) vs. Houston (American #4)
Belk Bowl: North Carolina (ACC #5) vs. Cincinnati (American #3)
Russell Athletic Bowl: Miami (ACC #3) vs. Louisville (American #2)
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl: Utah St. (Mountain West #3) vs. Navy (Navy / C-USA)
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Georgia Tech (ACC #6) vs. Ole Miss (SEC #7)
Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma (Big 12 #3) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 #2)
Holiday Bowl: Kansas St. (Big 12 #5) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 #3)
AdvoCare V100 Bowl: Boston College (ACC #7) vs. Colorado St. (SEC #10***)
Hyundai Sun Bowl: Virginia Tech (ACC #4) vs. UCLA (Pac-12 #4)
AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Marshall (C-USA #1) vs. Vanderbilt (SEC #8)
Chick-fil-A Bowl: Duke (ACC #2) vs. Texas A&M (SEC #5)
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl: Michigan (Big Ten #5) vs. Georgia (SEC #6)
Heart of Dallas Bowl: Oregon St. (Big Ten #7***) vs. North Texas (C-USA)
Capital One Bowl: Wisconsin (Big Ten #2) vs. Missouri (SEC #2)
Outback Bowl: Iowa (Big Ten #3) vs. South Carolina (SEC #4)
AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic: Baylor (Big 12 #2) vs. LSU (SEC #3)
BBVA Compass Bowl: Rutgers (American #5) vs. Mississippi St. (SEC #9)
GoDaddy.com Bowl: Bowling Green (MAC #2) vs. Arkansas St. (Sun Belt #2)
Rose Bowl Game: Michigan St. (Big Ten #1) vs. Arizona St. (Pac-12 #1)
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma St. (Big 12 #1) vs. Northern Illinois (BCS At-Large)
Allstate Sugar Bowl: Alabama (SEC #1) vs. UCF (BCS At-Large)
Discover Orange Bowl: Clemson (ACC #1) vs. Ohio St. (BCS At-Large)
VIZIO BCS National Championship Game: Florida St. (BCS #1) vs. Auburn (BCS #2)
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