This bracket is my final update and factors in all re-evaluations of resumes. We will know soon enough how I did this year, and enjoy the Tournament!
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Wisconsin, Arizona
2 Seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Iowa St., Notre Dame, Maryland, North Carolina
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, SMU
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Utah, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Georgetown, Michigan St., Providence, West Virginia
7 Seeds: VCU, Butler, Xavier, Oregon
8 Seeds: San Diego St., Iowa, Dayton, Georgia
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., NC State, Cincinnati
10 Seeds: St. John's, Davidson, Oklahoma St., Texas
11 Seeds: BYU, Boise St., LSU/Purdue, Buffalo
12 Seeds: Indiana/Temple, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Valparaiso
13 Seeds: Harvard, Wyoming, Georgia St., North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: Northeastern, New Mexico St., Belmont, E. Washington
15 Seeds: Albany, UC-Irvine, Coastal Carolina, UAB
16 Seeds: Lafayette, Texas Southern, North Florida/Manhattan, Robert Morris/Hampton
Last Four Byes: Oklahoma St., Texas, BYU, Boise St.
Last Four In: LSU, Purdue, Indiana, Temple
First Four Out: Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Miami
Next Five Out: Richmond, Old Dominion, UConn, Texas A&M, Murray St.
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 4
Mountain West: 4
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Sunday, March 15, 2015
Bracketology- Ole Miss Now Out
This bracket is up to date through all games played on Saturday, March 14 and factors in a re-evaluation of resumes, though one final one will take place before the Selection Show.
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Wisconsin, Arizona
2 Seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Iowa St., Notre Dame, Maryland, North Carolina
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, SMU
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Utah, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Georgetown, Michigan St., Providence, West Virginia
7 Seeds: Butler, Xavier, VCU, Oregon
8 Seeds: San Diego St., Dayton, Iowa, Georgia
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., NC State, Cincinnati
10 Seeds: St. John's, Davidson, Oklahoma St., Texas
11 Seeds: BYU, Boise St., LSU/Purdue, Buffalo
12 Seeds: Indiana/Temple, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Valparaiso
13 Seeds: Harvard, Wyoming, Georgia St., North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: Northeastern, New Mexico St., Belmont, E. Washington
15 Seeds: Albany, UC-Irvine, Coastal Carolina, UAB
16 Seeds: Lafayette, Texas Southern, North Florida/Manhattan, Robert Morris/Hampton
Last Four Byes: Oklahoma St., Texas, BYU, Boise St.
Last Four In: LSU, Purdue, Indiana, Temple
First Four Out: Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Miami
Next Six Out: Richmond, Buffalo, Old Dominion, UConn, Texas A&M, Murray St.
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Wisconsin, Arizona
2 Seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Iowa St., Notre Dame, Maryland, North Carolina
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, SMU
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Utah, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Georgetown, Michigan St., Providence, West Virginia
7 Seeds: Butler, Xavier, VCU, Oregon
8 Seeds: San Diego St., Dayton, Iowa, Georgia
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., NC State, Cincinnati
10 Seeds: St. John's, Davidson, Oklahoma St., Texas
11 Seeds: BYU, Boise St., LSU/Purdue, Buffalo
12 Seeds: Indiana/Temple, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Valparaiso
13 Seeds: Harvard, Wyoming, Georgia St., North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: Northeastern, New Mexico St., Belmont, E. Washington
15 Seeds: Albany, UC-Irvine, Coastal Carolina, UAB
16 Seeds: Lafayette, Texas Southern, North Florida/Manhattan, Robert Morris/Hampton
Last Four Byes: Oklahoma St., Texas, BYU, Boise St.
Last Four In: LSU, Purdue, Indiana, Temple
First Four Out: Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Miami
Next Six Out: Richmond, Buffalo, Old Dominion, UConn, Texas A&M, Murray St.
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Saturday, March 14, 2015
Bubble Watch- Wyoming Is a Bid Thief
SEC:
With the bubble shrinking a bit, Texas A&M appears pretty clearly on the wrong side of the bubble, which would have been unthinkable two weeks ago. Meanwhile, it could really go either way for Ole Miss. LSU is not certain, but I am reasonably confident that their wins (and the eye test) will get them in.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): LSU
Bubble (1): Ole Miss
Probably Out (1): Texas A&M
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke in the ACC quarters. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame, but their RPI is on the low side for an at-large, and all that their resume really has is that one incredible win at Duke.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Miami
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
My guess is that both Indiana and Purdue make it, but they both remain bubble teams. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and nearly grabbed a massive win tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
With how other teams in other conferences have done, St. John's ends all bubble drama for the Big East by joining the others as locks.
Locks (6): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier, St. John's
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Can UConn beat SMU and get in? We will see, but it is highly unlikely that they will get in if they don't. Tulsa is now pretty clearly on the wrong side of things.
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Temple
Probably Out (2): UConn, Tulsa
Watch Out (0):
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Wyoming has shocked the world and taken away an at-large bid. But, it won't be Boise's in all probability.
Locks (3): San Diego St., Colorado St., Wyoming (by virtue of AAC Title)
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (1): Davidson
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Richmond
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
BYU is not a lock, but they do appear to be on the right side of the bubble ahead of tomorrow night.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (1): BYU
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford, Buffalo, Harvard
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 39
Probably In: 4
Bubble: 7 (for 4 spots)
Probably Out: 6
Watch Out: 0
With the bubble shrinking a bit, Texas A&M appears pretty clearly on the wrong side of the bubble, which would have been unthinkable two weeks ago. Meanwhile, it could really go either way for Ole Miss. LSU is not certain, but I am reasonably confident that their wins (and the eye test) will get them in.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): LSU
Bubble (1): Ole Miss
Probably Out (1): Texas A&M
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke in the ACC quarters. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame, but their RPI is on the low side for an at-large, and all that their resume really has is that one incredible win at Duke.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Miami
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
My guess is that both Indiana and Purdue make it, but they both remain bubble teams. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and nearly grabbed a massive win tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
With how other teams in other conferences have done, St. John's ends all bubble drama for the Big East by joining the others as locks.
Locks (6): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier, St. John's
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Can UConn beat SMU and get in? We will see, but it is highly unlikely that they will get in if they don't. Tulsa is now pretty clearly on the wrong side of things.
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Temple
Probably Out (2): UConn, Tulsa
Watch Out (0):
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Wyoming has shocked the world and taken away an at-large bid. But, it won't be Boise's in all probability.
Locks (3): San Diego St., Colorado St., Wyoming (by virtue of AAC Title)
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (1): Davidson
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Richmond
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
BYU is not a lock, but they do appear to be on the right side of the bubble ahead of tomorrow night.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (1): BYU
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford, Buffalo, Harvard
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 39
Probably In: 4
Bubble: 7 (for 4 spots)
Probably Out: 6
Watch Out: 0
Bracketology- Temple the Last Team In
This bracket is up to date through all games played on Friday, March 13 and factors in a re-evaluation of resumes.
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Wisconsin
2 Seeds: Virginia, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Maryland, North Carolina, Iowa St., Notre Dame
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, SMU
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Utah, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Georgetown, Providence, San Diego St., Michigan St.
7 Seeds: West Virginia, Butler, Xavier, Oregon
8 Seeds: Georgia, VCU, Dayton, Iowa
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., NC State, Davidson
10 Seeds: Cincinnati, St. John's, Oklahoma St., Texas
11 Seeds: BYU, Boise St., LSU, Purdue/Indiana
12 Seeds: Ole Miss/Temple, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Valparaiso
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Harvard, Georgia St., North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: Northeastern, New Mexico St., Belmont, Albany
15 Seeds: UC-Irvine, Coastal Carolina, UAB, Lafayette
16 Seeds: North Florida, Texas Southern, Montana/Manhattan, Robert Morris/Delaware St.
Last Four Byes: Texas, BYU, Boise St., LSU
Last Four In: Purdue, Indiana, Ole Miss, Temple
First Four Out: UCLA, Tulsa, Miami, Richmond
Next Six Out: Buffalo, Old Dominion, Texas A&M, Murray St., UConn, Stanford
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Wisconsin
2 Seeds: Virginia, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Maryland, North Carolina, Iowa St., Notre Dame
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, SMU
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Utah, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Georgetown, Providence, San Diego St., Michigan St.
7 Seeds: West Virginia, Butler, Xavier, Oregon
8 Seeds: Georgia, VCU, Dayton, Iowa
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., NC State, Davidson
10 Seeds: Cincinnati, St. John's, Oklahoma St., Texas
11 Seeds: BYU, Boise St., LSU, Purdue/Indiana
12 Seeds: Ole Miss/Temple, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Valparaiso
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Harvard, Georgia St., North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: Northeastern, New Mexico St., Belmont, Albany
15 Seeds: UC-Irvine, Coastal Carolina, UAB, Lafayette
16 Seeds: North Florida, Texas Southern, Montana/Manhattan, Robert Morris/Delaware St.
Last Four Byes: Texas, BYU, Boise St., LSU
Last Four In: Purdue, Indiana, Ole Miss, Temple
First Four Out: UCLA, Tulsa, Miami, Richmond
Next Six Out: Buffalo, Old Dominion, Texas A&M, Murray St., UConn, Stanford
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Bracketology
This bracket is up to date through all games played on Friday, March 13. I also didn't realize that Davidson is the regular season A-10 Champion, so they are now projected as an auto-bid and not in the First Four (though, today's win may have helped them get out of that, anyway). Resume re-evaluation will be taking place Saturday morning, so look for possible changes. Especially approximate are the seeds for the 13-16 seeds.
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Virginia, Duke
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Maryland, North Carolina, Iowa St., Notre Dame
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Utah, Oklahoma
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Arkansas, SMU
6 Seeds: Butler, Georgetown, Providence, San Diego St.
7 Seeds: West Virginia, Michigan St., Xavier, Oregon
8 Seeds: Georgia, VCU, Dayton, Iowa
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., Oklahoma St., NC State
10 Seeds: Cincinnati, St. John's, Davidson, Indiana
11 Seeds: Ole Miss, Texas, Boise St., LSU/Temple
12 Seeds: Purdue/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Belmont, North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: UAB, Manhattan, North Florida, Coastal Carolina
15 Seeds: UC-Irvine, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe, Northeastern
16 Seeds: Lafayette, Montana, New Mexico St./Robert Morris, Texas Southern/Delaware St.
Last Four Byes: Indiana, Ole Miss, Texas, Boise St.
Last Four In: LSU, Temple, Purdue, BYU
First Four Out: UCLA, Tulsa, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Five Out: Rhode Island, Illinois, Murray St., Richmond, UConn
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Villanova, Virginia, Duke
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Maryland, North Carolina, Iowa St., Notre Dame
4 Seeds: Baylor, Northern Iowa, Utah, Oklahoma
5 Seeds: Louisville, Wichita St., Arkansas, SMU
6 Seeds: Butler, Georgetown, Providence, San Diego St.
7 Seeds: West Virginia, Michigan St., Xavier, Oregon
8 Seeds: Georgia, VCU, Dayton, Iowa
9 Seeds: Ohio St., Colorado St., Oklahoma St., NC State
10 Seeds: Cincinnati, St. John's, Davidson, Indiana
11 Seeds: Ole Miss, Texas, Boise St., LSU/Temple
12 Seeds: Purdue/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Belmont, North Dakota St.
14 Seeds: UAB, Manhattan, North Florida, Coastal Carolina
15 Seeds: UC-Irvine, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe, Northeastern
16 Seeds: Lafayette, Montana, New Mexico St./Robert Morris, Texas Southern/Delaware St.
Last Four Byes: Indiana, Ole Miss, Texas, Boise St.
Last Four In: LSU, Temple, Purdue, BYU
First Four Out: UCLA, Tulsa, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Five Out: Rhode Island, Illinois, Murray St., Richmond, UConn
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Bubble Watch
SEC:
SEC Bubble teams have been doing themselves no favors. Texas A&M already has a bad loss to Auburn and Ole Miss to South Carolina. Fringe contender Vanderbilt lost to Tennessee. LSU and Ole Miss, with their bad losses, are both bubble teams.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (0):
Bubble (3): LSU, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke last night. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Indiana and Purdue have an advantage that many bubble teams don't- they are still alive in Chicago right now. My guess is that both make it, but they both remain bubble teams for now. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and nearly grabbed a massive win tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
With how other teams in other conferences have done, St. John's ends all bubble drama for the Big East by joining the others as locks.
Locks (6): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier, St. John's
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Temple survived against Memphis and got a big win for its at-large prospects. Beating Houston probably wasn't be enough for Tulsa- they probably need a win over UConn tomorrow- at a minimum. There is an off chance that UConn could sneak in by beating Tulsa and losing to SMU, so I will bump them to Probably Out
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (1): UConn
Watch Out (0):
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Boise looks fine, but, they and all other teams anywhere near the bubble need to beware of the Wyoming Cowboys, who look like the only potential bid thief out there, with only San Diego St. in their way.
Locks (2): San Diego St., Colorado St.
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Wyoming
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (1): Davidson
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (2): Richmond, Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 38
Probably In: 2
Bubble: 11 (for 7 spots)
Probably Out: 4
Watch Out: 1
SEC Bubble teams have been doing themselves no favors. Texas A&M already has a bad loss to Auburn and Ole Miss to South Carolina. Fringe contender Vanderbilt lost to Tennessee. LSU and Ole Miss, with their bad losses, are both bubble teams.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (0):
Bubble (3): LSU, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke last night. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Indiana and Purdue have an advantage that many bubble teams don't- they are still alive in Chicago right now. My guess is that both make it, but they both remain bubble teams for now. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and nearly grabbed a massive win tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
With how other teams in other conferences have done, St. John's ends all bubble drama for the Big East by joining the others as locks.
Locks (6): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier, St. John's
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Temple survived against Memphis and got a big win for its at-large prospects. Beating Houston probably wasn't be enough for Tulsa- they probably need a win over UConn tomorrow- at a minimum. There is an off chance that UConn could sneak in by beating Tulsa and losing to SMU, so I will bump them to Probably Out
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (1): UConn
Watch Out (0):
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Boise looks fine, but, they and all other teams anywhere near the bubble need to beware of the Wyoming Cowboys, who look like the only potential bid thief out there, with only San Diego St. in their way.
Locks (2): San Diego St., Colorado St.
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Wyoming
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (1): Davidson
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (2): Richmond, Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 38
Probably In: 2
Bubble: 11 (for 7 spots)
Probably Out: 4
Watch Out: 1
Friday, March 13, 2015
Bracketology- LSU Still In
This bracket is up to date through all games played on Friday, March 13 at 5 PM Central. I also didn't realize that Davidson is the regular season A-10 Champion, so they are now projected as an auto-bid and not in the First Four (though, today's win may have helped them get out of that, anyway). Resume re-evaluation will be taking place Saturday morning, so look for possible changes.
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Should Stanford lose to Washington St., they will be completely removed from the page and not replaced.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Baylor, Maryland, Utah, Iowa St.
4 Seeds: North Carolina, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, Louisville
5 Seeds: Wichita St., Notre Dame, Georgetown, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Providence, SMU, Butler, West Virginia
7 Seeds: San Diego St., Georgia, Xavier, VCU
8 Seeds: Michigan St., Dayton, Colorado St., Ohio St.
9 Seeds: Oregon, Cincinnati, Iowa, Oklahoma St.
10 Seeds: NC State, Indiana, St. John's, Boise St.
11 Seeds: Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, LSU/Temple
12 Seeds: Purdue/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Louisiana Tech, Belmont
14 Seeds: UC-Davis, North Dakota St., Manhattan, North Florida
15 Seeds: NC Central, Coastal Carolina, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe
16 Seeds: Northeastern, Lafayette, Montana/New Mexico St., Robert Morris/Texas Southern
Last Four Byes: Indiana, St. John's, Ole Miss, Texas
Last Four In: LSU, Temple, Purdue, BYU
First Four Out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Four Out: Illinois, Rhode Island, Murray St., Richmond
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Should Stanford lose to Washington St., they will be completely removed from the page and not replaced.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Baylor, Maryland, Utah, Iowa St.
4 Seeds: North Carolina, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, Louisville
5 Seeds: Wichita St., Notre Dame, Georgetown, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Providence, SMU, Butler, West Virginia
7 Seeds: San Diego St., Georgia, Xavier, VCU
8 Seeds: Michigan St., Dayton, Colorado St., Ohio St.
9 Seeds: Oregon, Cincinnati, Iowa, Oklahoma St.
10 Seeds: NC State, Indiana, St. John's, Boise St.
11 Seeds: Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, LSU/Temple
12 Seeds: Purdue/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Louisiana Tech, Belmont
14 Seeds: UC-Davis, North Dakota St., Manhattan, North Florida
15 Seeds: NC Central, Coastal Carolina, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe
16 Seeds: Northeastern, Lafayette, Montana/New Mexico St., Robert Morris/Texas Southern
Last Four Byes: Indiana, St. John's, Ole Miss, Texas
Last Four In: LSU, Temple, Purdue, BYU
First Four Out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Four Out: Illinois, Rhode Island, Murray St., Richmond
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Bubble Watch- Colorado St. a Lock
SEC:
SEC Bubble teams have been doing themselves no favors. Texas A&M already has a bad loss to Auburn and Ole Miss to South Carolina. Fringe contender Vanderbilt lost to Tennessee. LSU is in a dogfight with Auburn as I am writing this. A win will take them off the bubble, but a loss will make things dicey.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): Ole Miss
Bubble (2): LSU, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke last night. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Indiana and Purdue have an advantage that many bubble teams don't- they are still alive in Chicago right now. My guess is that both make it, but they both remain bubble teams for now. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and could really help themselves by beating Arizona tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
The bubble has been doing so poorly that St. John's is nearing lockdom despite not playing any longer.
Locks (5): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier
Probably In (1): St. John's
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Temple survived against Memphis and got a big win for its at-large prospects. Beating Houston probably won't be enough for Tulsa- they probably need a win over either Cincinnati or UConn tomorrow.
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): UConn
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Colorado St. joins San Diego St. as MWC locks, largely due to its impressive RPI. Boise St., meanwhile, for now, is Probably In, but it remains far from safe.
Locks (2): San Diego St., Colorado St.
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Davidson
Probably Out (2): Richmond, Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 37
Probably In: 3
Bubble: 11 (for 7 spots)
Probably Out: 3
Watch Out: 1
SEC Bubble teams have been doing themselves no favors. Texas A&M already has a bad loss to Auburn and Ole Miss to South Carolina. Fringe contender Vanderbilt lost to Tennessee. LSU is in a dogfight with Auburn as I am writing this. A win will take them off the bubble, but a loss will make things dicey.
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): Ole Miss
Bubble (2): LSU, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
ACC:
NC State is fine, even with a loss to Duke last night. Miami will just have to wait and see after bowing out of Greensboro in a close quarterfinal loss to Notre Dame.
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Is Oklahoma St. really safe? I think so, but I have to risk it a bit, as I don't rescind locks. Meanwhile, I think Texas will make it (and may bump them to Probably In at some point before Sunday), but it is not certain.
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Indiana and Purdue have an advantage that many bubble teams don't- they are still alive in Chicago right now. My guess is that both make it, but they both remain bubble teams for now. Beating Maryland tonight would take the Hoosiers off the bubble.
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Pac-12:
With Stanford's close loss to Utah, Stanford has no more opportunities to make a move and will not make the NCAA Tournament in 2015. UCLA is right on the bubble and could really help themselves by beating Arizona tonight.
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
The bubble has been doing so poorly that St. John's is nearing lockdom despite not playing any longer.
Locks (5): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier
Probably In (1): St. John's
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Temple survived against Memphis and got a big win for its at-large prospects. Beating Houston probably won't be enough for Tulsa- they probably need a win over either Cincinnati or UConn tomorrow.
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): UConn
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Colorado St. joins San Diego St. as MWC locks, largely due to its impressive RPI. Boise St., meanwhile, for now, is Probably In, but it remains far from safe.
Locks (2): San Diego St., Colorado St.
Probably In (1): Boise St.
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
A big come-from-behind win over La Salle keeps Davidson on the right side of the bubble for now. A win over VCU tomorrow would likely do it. Meanwhile, VCU's stopping-the-bleeding win over intra-city rival Richmond stops the worrying about the sliding Rams. Richmond is now on life-support, Probably Out, while it awaits the committee.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Davidson
Probably Out (2): Richmond, Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out.
Significant Auto-Bids: Wofford
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 37
Probably In: 3
Bubble: 11 (for 7 spots)
Probably Out: 3
Watch Out: 1
Thursday, March 12, 2015
Bracketology
This bracket is up to date through all games played on Thursday, March 12 at 11:20 PM Central.
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Should Stanford lose to Washington St., they will be completely removed from the page and not replaced.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Baylor, Maryland, Utah, Iowa St.
4 Seeds: North Carolina, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, Louisville
5 Seeds: Wichita St., Notre Dame, Georgetown, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Providence, Butler, SMU, West Virginia
7 Seeds: San Diego St., Georgia, Xavier, VCU
8 Seeds: Michigan St., Dayton, Colorado St., Ohio St.
9 Seeds: Oregon, Cincinnati, Iowa, Oklahoma St.
10 Seeds: NC State, LSU, Indiana, St. John's
11 Seeds: Boise St., Ole Miss, Texas, Temple/Purdue
12 Seeds: Davidson/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Louisiana Tech, Belmont
14 Seeds: UC-Davis, North Dakota St., Manhattan, North Florida
15 Seeds: NC Central, Coastal Carolina, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe
16 Seeds: Northeastern, Lafayette, Montana/New Mexico St., Robert Morris/Texas Southern
Last Four Byes: St. John's, LSU, Indiana, Texas
Last Four In: Temple, Purdue, Davidson, BYU
First Four Out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Four Out: Richmond, Stanford, Illinois, Rhode Island
Third Four Out: Buffalo, Murray St., UConn, Old Dominion
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Remember to trust me- This blog has correctly identified 135 of the 136 teams in the Tournament since its inception!
Teams in bold have officially clinched a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Should Stanford lose to Washington St., they will be completely removed from the page and not replaced.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova
2 Seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3 Seeds: Baylor, Maryland, Utah, Iowa St.
4 Seeds: North Carolina, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, Louisville
5 Seeds: Wichita St., Notre Dame, Georgetown, Arkansas
6 Seeds: Providence, Butler, SMU, West Virginia
7 Seeds: San Diego St., Georgia, Xavier, VCU
8 Seeds: Michigan St., Dayton, Colorado St., Ohio St.
9 Seeds: Oregon, Cincinnati, Iowa, Oklahoma St.
10 Seeds: NC State, LSU, Indiana, St. John's
11 Seeds: Boise St., Ole Miss, Texas, Temple/Purdue
12 Seeds: Davidson/BYU, Harvard, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin
13 Seeds: Central Michigan, Valparaiso, Louisiana Tech, Belmont
14 Seeds: UC-Davis, North Dakota St., Manhattan, North Florida
15 Seeds: NC Central, Coastal Carolina, Albany, Louisiana-Monroe
16 Seeds: Northeastern, Lafayette, Montana/New Mexico St., Robert Morris/Texas Southern
Last Four Byes: St. John's, LSU, Indiana, Texas
Last Four In: Temple, Purdue, Davidson, BYU
First Four Out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami, Texas A&M
Next Four Out: Richmond, Stanford, Illinois, Rhode Island
Third Four Out: Buffalo, Murray St., UConn, Old Dominion
Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 7
ACC: 6
Big East: 6
SEC: 5
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic-10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
WCC: 2
Bubble Watch
Analysis coming tomorrow.
SEC:
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): Ole Miss
Bubble (2): LSU, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Florida
ACC:
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Michigan
Pac-12:
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (1): Stanford
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
If it wasn't a lock before, giving up over 100 points to Villanova won't get it there. Still, St. John's should be fine.
Locks (5): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier
Probably In (1): St. John's
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (2): Memphis, UConn
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Does anything ever change in this league?
Locks (1): San Diego St.
Probably In (1): Colorado St.
Bubble (1): Boise St.
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
VCU and Dayton don't seem to like being locks very much, but they are. Davidson remains the best chance for a third bid, with Richmond also a possibility.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Davidson, Richmond
Probably Out (1): Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out. Anyone else? Maybe Buffalo and that gaudy RPI.
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 36
Probably In: 3
Bubble: 13 (for 8 spots)
Probably Out: 3
Watch Out: 4
SEC:
Locks (3): Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
Probably In (1): Ole Miss
Bubble (2): LSU, Texas A&M
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Florida
ACC:
Locks (6): Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Miami
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big 12:
Locks (6): Kansas, Iowa St., Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): Texas
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Big Ten:
Locks (5): Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Indiana, Purdue
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (1): Michigan
Pac-12:
Locks (3): Arizona, Utah, Oregon
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): UCLA
Probably Out (1): Stanford
Watch Out (0):
Big East:
If it wasn't a lock before, giving up over 100 points to Villanova won't get it there. Still, St. John's should be fine.
Locks (5): Villanova, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, Xavier
Probably In (1): St. John's
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
American:
Locks (2): SMU, Cincinnati
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Tulsa, Temple
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (2): Memphis, UConn
Missouri Valley:
Locks (2): Northern Iowa, Wichita St.
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Mountain West:
Does anything ever change in this league?
Locks (1): San Diego St.
Probably In (1): Colorado St.
Bubble (1): Boise St.
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Atlantic-10:
VCU and Dayton don't seem to like being locks very much, but they are. Davidson remains the best chance for a third bid, with Richmond also a possibility.
Locks (2): VCU, Dayton
Probably In (0):
Bubble (2): Davidson, Richmond
Probably Out (1): Rhode Island
Watch Out (0):
West Coast:
After losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final, BYU has a long wait in store until it finally gets to know its fate on Sunday. It really could go either way, and they are right on the cut line.
Locks (1): Gonzaga
Probably In (0):
Bubble (1): BYU
Probably Out (0):
Watch Out (0):
Other Contenders:
I guess I can throw Murray St. into the group of teams that are probably out. Anyone else? Maybe Buffalo and that gaudy RPI.
Locks (0):
Probably In (0):
Bubble (0):
Probably Out (1): Murray St.
Totals:
Locks: 36
Probably In: 3
Bubble: 13 (for 8 spots)
Probably Out: 3
Watch Out: 4
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