The first four out can all blame bid thieves this year. Saint Louis, Saint Mary's, Oregon, and Murray State all unexpectedly won conference tournaments. All four of those conferences have projected at-large bids or teams within the First Four Out. Texas, Arizona State, Indiana, and Alabama have these teams to blame. It is extremely close between Belmont and Texas for the final spot. Recent history would suggest they would go with Texas, but I think the 16-16 record is going to be a little too much for the committee to overcome. I'm timidly putting Belmont in the final spot, but prepared for the possibility of them being just like MTSU last year or Monmouth in 2016.
1 Seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina
2 Seeds: Michigan State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Michigan
3 Seeds: Florida State, LSU, Texas Tech, Houston
4 Seeds: Virginia Tech, Auburn, Wisconsin, Kansas
5 Seeds: Iowa State, Purdue, Kansas State, Villanova
6 Seeds: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Wofford, Mississippi State
7 Seeds: Louisville, UCF, Marquette, Maryland
8 Seeds: Nevada, Seton Hall, Utah State, Ole Miss
9 Seeds: Baylor, Washington, Florida, Syracuse
10 Seeds: Minnesota, VCU, Iowa, Oklahoma
11 Seeds: NC State, Saint Mary's, Oregon, Clemson/TCU
12 Seeds: Ohio State/Belmont, Murray State, Liberty, New Mexico State
13 Seeds: Yale, Northeastern, Vermont, UC-Irvine
14 Seeds: Saint Louis, Old Dominion, Georgia State, Northern Kentucky
15 Seeds: Montana, Colgate, Bradley, Abilene Christian
16 Seeds: Gardner-Webb, Prairie View A&M, Iona/North Dakota State, Fairliegh Dickinson/NC Central
Last Four Byes:
VCU
Iowa
Oklahoma
NC State
Last Four In:
Clemson
TCU
Ohio State
Belmont
First Four Out:
Texas
Arizona State
Indiana
Alabama
Next Four Out:
Saint John's
Temple
Lipscomb
Furman
Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 8
Big 12: 7
SEC: 7
Big East: 3
American: 3
Mountain West: 2
West Coast: 2
Pac-12: 2
Atlantic 10: 2
Ohio Valley: 2
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